Warriors vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – January 25, 2021

The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-11) visit the Golden State Warriors (8-8) after losing five road games in a row. The Warriors are favored by in the matchup, which starts at 10:00 PM ET on Monday, January 25, 2021. The matchup has an over/under set at points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of January 25, 2021, 1:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of January 25

Warriors:
Alen Smailagic: Out (Knee),
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Marquese Chriss: Out For Season (Leg)

Timberwolves:
Karl-Anthony Towns: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Juancho Hernangomez: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Warriors (-8.5)
Total Pick Under (225.5)
Prediction Warriors 117, Timberwolves 108

The model projects the Warriors to win, just as FanDuel does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (9.1 to 8.5).

The FanDuel total for this game, 225.5 points, and the model’s projected total, 224.7 points, are only 0.8 points apart.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Warriors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Stephen Curry 16 27.9 5.6 6.2 1.1 0.1 4.2
Andrew Wiggins 16 17.4 5.1 2.4 0.4 1.6 2.1
James Wiseman 16 11.8 6.0 0.7 0.4 1.4 0.4
Kelly Oubre Jr. 16 11.5 5.4 1.0 1.3 0.9 1.1
Eric Paschall 15 11.4 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.5

Warriors Player Props

  • Stephen Curry’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 28.5, 0.6 points greater than his season average of 27.9.
  • James Wiseman’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 11.5, 7.0 lower than his season average of 18.5.
  • Curry’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 4.5, 0.3 shots higher than his season average of 4.2.
  • Andrew Wiggins’ blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks lower than his season average of 1.6.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
D’Angelo Russell 14 20.5 3.0 5.5 1.3 0.5 3.0
Malik Beasley 15 18.9 4.7 2.5 0.7 0.3 2.7
Anthony Edwards 15 12.1 2.7 1.7 0.6 0.1 1.5
Naz Reid 15 11.7 4.3 1.3 0.5 1.3 1.1
Jarrett Culver 15 8.4 5.3 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.5

Timberwolves Player Props

  • D’Angelo Russell’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 33.5, 4.5 higher than his season average of 29.0.
  • Ed Davis’ PRA prop total for the game is set at 8.5, 0.3 lower than his season average of 8.8.
  • Russell’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.5 shots greater than his season average of 3.0.
  • Ricky Rubio’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Warriors have a 44.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.9% lower than the 47.4% of shots the Timberwolves’ opponents have knocked down.
  • Golden State has a 6-0 record against the spread and a 6-0 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47.4% from the field.
  • Minnesota is 4-0 against the spread and 2-2 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 44.5% from the field.
  • The Timberwolves have shot at a 43.7% rate from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points less than the 44.6% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
  • Minnesota has compiled a 3-2 record against the spread and a 1-4 straight up record in games it shoots over 44.6% from the field.
  • When Golden State’s opponents shoot greater than 43.7% from the field, it is 5-1 against the spread and 5-1 overall.
  • The Warriors’ 34.7% three-point shooting percentage this season is 2.4 percentage points lower than opponents of the Timberwolves have shot from beyond the arc (37.1%).
  • Golden State has a 5-2 record against the spread and a 6-1 record overall when the team hits more than 37.1% of its three-point attempts.
  • Minnesota is 6-1 against the spread and 4-3 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 34.7% from deep.
  • The Timberwolves’ three-point shooting percentage this season (33.5%) is 3.3 percentage points lower than opponents of the Warriors are averaging (36.8%).
  • Minnesota is 3-1 against the spread and 1-3 overall when shooting above 36.8% as a team from three-point range.
  • Golden State is 4-3 ATS and 4-3 overall in games it shoots above 33.5% from deep.
  • The Warriors knock down 13.1 three-pointers per game this season, 1.6 more makes per game than the Timberwolves give up (11.5).
  • When Golden State makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 overall. When Minnesota is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 0-6 ATS and 0-6 straight up.
  • The Timberwolves are the 24th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Warriors give up the 20th-fewest makes from deep.

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Warriors vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Warriors Rank Warriors AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
15th 111.5 Points Scored 107.1 25th
24th 115.1 Points Allowed 115.8 26th
19th 43.5 Rebounds 44.6 17th
28th 7.9 Off. Rebounds 11.3 7th
11th 13.1 3pt Made 11.5 24th
7th 26.4 Assists 24.1 20th
17th 14.1 Turnovers 14 15th

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