With the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ victory over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship game, Tom Brady is now for an absurd 10th Super Bowl appearance. That’s right, 18 percent of all Super Bowls have had Brady as one of the quarterbacks.
Of course, we already know that the California native has won six Super Bowl rings, but how did his teams fair against the spread, how’d the total go and how did Brady himself perform in those games? Well, I’m going to take a deeper look into all of the Tom Brady Super Bowl betting trends.
Online sportsbook Bovada has released its Super Bowl 55 odds between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Kansas City Chiefs and have listed the reigning champion Chiefs as 3.5-point favorites, -170 on the moneyline and the total set at 56.5 points.
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Super Bowl 55 Odds
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting Trends: Team Performances
Each of Brady’s previous nine appearances had come as a member of the New England Patriots, however, this year he will be representing the NFC as a Tampa Bay Buccaneer. Looking at the Tom Brady Super Bowl betting history, his Patriots went 6-3 over those nine Super Bowl games, only losing to NFC East teams, the New York Giants twice and the Philadelphia Eagles.
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting Trends: Moneyline and Point Spreads
In the six Super Bowl victories, New England had an average winning margin of 4.8 points with the largest win coming in the most recent championship in 2018, a 10-point triumph over the Los Angeles Rams (13-3). While Brady and the Pats’ first three Super Bowl titles were all three-point margins.
Overall the first Tom Brady Super Bowl betting trend is that he is 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS. Furthermore, the Patriots were favored in seven of the nine Super Bowl’s going 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS, while in the two games as a dog, Brady and the crew went 2-0 SU and ATS – once again the Bucs are underdogs to the Chiefs.
| Super Bowl | Opponent | Score | Spread | Game Result | Spread Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl XXXVI | St. Louis | 20-17 | +14 | W | W |
| Super Bowl XXXVIII | Carolina | 32-29 | -7 | W | L |
| Super Bowl XXXIX | Philadelphia | 24-21 | -7 | W | L |
| Super Bowl XLII | New York Giants | 17-14 | -12.5 | L | L |
| Super Bowl XLVI | New York Giants | 21-17 | -2.5 | L | L |
| Super Bowl XLIX | Seattle | 28-24 | +1 | W | W |
| Super Bowl LI | Atlanta | 34-28 | -3 | W | W |
| Super Bowl LII | Philadelphia | 33-41 | -4.5 | L | L |
| Super Bowl LII | LA Rams | 13-3 | -2.5 | W | W |
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting History: Totals Betting
If you’re not a spread bettor, perhaps the total will be of more interest. There were an abundance of points in the recent Brady Super Bowl appearances, having a combined score of 50 or more points in three of the last four, however, Super Bowl 53 saw just 16 total points on the scoreboard.
The highest scoring Super Bowl over Brady’s nine appearances was in the loss to Philadelphia at Super Bowl 52, a 41-33 affair for a total of 74 points, with one year later being the fewest combined points of 16.
Overall, the average combined score of Brady’s nine Super Bowl’s is 46.2 points, 10 points fewer than the Super Bowl 55 total of 56.5 which is the second-highest total Brady has had in his big game history.
| Super Bowl | Opponent | Total | Final Score | Game Result | Total Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl XXXVI | St. Louis | 53 | 20-7 | W | UNDER |
| Super Bowl XXXVIII | Carolina | 38 | 32-29 | W | OVER |
| Super Bowl XXXIX | Philadelphia | 46 | 24-21 | W | UNDER |
| Super Bowl XLII | New York Giants | 54.5 | 14-17 | L | UNDER |
| Super Bowl XLVI | New York Giants | 53.5 | 17-21 | L | UNDER |
| Super Bowl XLIX | Seattle | 47.5 | 28-24 | W | OVER |
| Super Bowl LI | Atlanta | 57.5 | 34-28 | W | OVER |
| Super Bowl LII | Philadelphia | 49 | 33-41 | L | OVER |
| Super Bowl LII | LA Rams | 55.5 | 13-3 | W | UNDER |
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting Trends: Individual Stats
With Brady no longer with the Patriots, you have a split of fans which could impact the way you place your bets for Super Bowl 55. For some, they may be solely New England fans and don’t want to bet on Tampa Bay and others are just fans of Brady wanting him to succeed.
Whatever your betting motivation is, there are plenty of Super Bowl 55 props that you can bet individually on No. 12 and here are some Tom Brady Super Bowl betting trends specific to him that may help you handicap those options.
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting History: Passing Yards, Touchdowns and Completions
Online sportsbook BetOnline has a big list of Super Bowl 55 player props that you can wager on and a popular one is the OVER/UNDER passing yards for Brady. For his first Super Bowl appearance as a rookie in 2001 at Super Bowl 36, he threw for just 145 yards, the fewest yards he had in any of the big games. Brady’s thrown for fewer than 250 yards just one other time while topping the 300-yard mark four times.
His average passing yards in the big game is 315.3 and for Super Bowl 55, Brady’s O/U passing yard total is set at 301.5 yards with both the OVER and UNDER paying -114.
If you’re looking for an option with a little more juice, total passing touchdowns may be right up your alley. BetOnline has Brady’s passing touchdowns set at 2.5 with the OVER paying +120 and the UNDER coming back at -156.
In the nine Super Bowl’s for Brady, he has thrown a total 18 touchdowns to six interceptions, which averages to two TD’s per game and he has thrown three or more in just three games. So, while a plus-money option may be intriguing, it may not be your best bet.
Lastly, another Super Bowl 55 prop that you can play in regards to Brady is pass completions. Against the Chiefs, his pass completion total is set at 24.5 with the OVER and UNDER both holding -114 odds. This may be a good opportunity to hop on an OVER as Brady has surpassed 24.5 completions in six of the previous nine Super Bowl’s, averaging 28.4.
| Super Bowl | Opponent | Yards | Completions/Attempts | Touchdowns | Interceptions | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl XXXVI | St. Louis | 145 | 16/27 | 1 | 0 | 86.2 |
| Super Bowl XXXVIII | Carolina | 354 | 32/48 | 3 | 1 | 100.5 |
| Super Bowl XXXIX | Philadelphia | 236 | 23/33 | 2 | 0 | 110.2 |
| Super Bowl XLII | New York Giants | 266 | 29/48 | 1 | 0 | 82.5 |
| Super Bowl XLVI | New York Giants | 276 | 27/41 | 2 | 1 | 91.1 |
| Super Bowl XLIX | Seattle | 328 | 37/50 | 4 | 2 | 101.1 |
| Super Bowl LI | Atlanta | 466 | 43/62 | 2 | 1 | 95.2 |
| Super Bowl LII | Philadelphia | 505 | 28/48 | 3 | 0 | 115.4 |
| Super Bowl LII | LA Rams | 262 | 21/35 | 0 | 1 | 71.4 |
Tom Brady Super Bowl Betting Trends: Live-betting options
Many sports bettors prefer to make their wagers in-game when they have a better feel for the tempo of the game or looking to take advantage of a large swing in the odds following a big play. Everyone loves a four-quarter comeback and while the Giants did-so twice against the Patriots at Super Bowl 42 and Super Bowl 46, New England also pulled off two fourth-quarter comebacks as well. The first coming at Super Bowl 49 vs. Seattle and the second at Super Bowl 51 vs. Atlanta.
Additionally, Tom Brady and the Patriots also had four game-winning drives scoring the last points of the game to take the lead and win the Super Bowl. Two of those drives were touchdowns and two were fields goals. So keep an eye on the odds for the Buccaneers if they are trailing in the fourth quarter because Brady may lead yet another late game-winning drive.
