The Indiana Pacers (11-8) host the Philadelphia 76ers (14-6) Sunday for a 7 p.m. ET game at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Below, we analyze the 76ers-Pacers NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Philadelphia has won five of its last six games (4-2 against the spread) with the peak of this stretch being a 107-106 win over the Los Angeles Lakers Wednesday.
The Pacers have been up-and-down recently, going 3-3 straight up and 2-4 ATS in their past six games. They split each of their two-game sets with the Toronto Raptors and Charlotte Hornets entering Sunday with the Pacers’ last game being a 108-105 loss to the Hornets.
Indiana won three of four meetings last regular season vs. Philly and covered the spread in all four.
76ers at Pacers: Odds, spread and lines
76ers at Pacers: Key injuries
C Joel Embiid (back) questionable
SF Doug McDermott (back) questionable
SF T.J. Warren (foot) out
SF Caris LeVert (medical condition) out
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76ers at Pacers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Pacers 114, 76ers 108
Money line (ML)
According to CleaningTheGlass, Philadelphia (10th) and Indiana (11th) are neck-and-neck in efficiency differential, which eliminates garbage time and meaningless possessions.
76ers All-Star C Joel Embiid‘s availability is major in handicapping this game and every bettor should wait until the final injury report is released before putting action on this game.
Over Philadelphia’s recent six-game stretch, Embiid has played in five of those games and has been abusing foes. He averaged 35.6 points on .560/.429/.833% shooting with 10.4 rebounds per game in those contests.
Indiana has an edge over Philly in a couple of areas. First, the 76ers shoot the fifth-most mid-range jumpers and Indiana is second in opponent’s mid-range shooting percentage. Second, Indiana scores the second-most points off of turnovers per game while Philly gives up the third-most points off of turnovers and the 76ers are 27th in offensive turnover percentage.
Knowing Embiid’s status and effectiveness is questionable, I lean PACERS (+110) for a one-fifth-unit.
Against the spread (ATS)
This is a good spot for Indiana as the Pacers are 4-2 ATS as underdogs whereas the 76ers are 3-4 ATS as road favorites. Furthermore, we get to fade the market, which nearly 70% of is backing Philadelphia according to Pregame.com.
Also, there’s value in taking a bucket’s worth of insurance against teams so evenly matched. Last night, I ground out a win in the Lakers-Celtics game because Los Angeles didn’t cover as 2.5-point favorites.
I’m TAKING PACERS +2.5 (-115) for 1 unit as the better play on the sides.
PASS. I agree with BetMGM‘s projection and don’t see any value in betting either side of the total.
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