Overeem vs Volkov Odds & Expert Predictions: Can Reem Continue Quest for Gold?

The UFC returns to the Apex Center after opening the year with three events at Fight Island. Headlining the first card on American soil in 2021 is a heavyweight tilt between Alistair Overeem and Alexander Volkov. UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov takes place on February 6.

This is a pivotal fight in the heavyweight division for both of these men, possibly even more so for Overeem, who wants one more push for a title shot but is 40 years old. I have a preview along with all of the UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov odds and predictions below.

Overeem finds himself on yet another two-fight winning streak but hasn’t had three victories in a row since he won four straight from 2014 to 2016. A win here at least keeps him in contention to fight for gold, while a loss puts him in a precarious spot.

Volkov has struggled to find his footing after bursting into the UFC in 2016. He had won four in a row but has been on a win-one, lose-one streak over his last four.

Online sportsbook Bovada has released UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov odds and has listed Volkov as the -190 favorite with Overeem coming back at +155. This means you would have to bet $190 to profit $100 with a Volkov win, while a $100 bet on an Overeem win would profit you $155.

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Looking at the Overeem vs Volkov odds, our sports betting calculator tells us Volkov’s odds of -190 represent an implied win probability of 65.52 percent while Overeem’s implied win probability is 39.22 percent.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov Odds
  • Main Card
  • Heavyweight – Alistair Overeem (+155) vs Alexander Volkov (-190)
  • Bantamweight – Cory Sandhagen (-400) vs Frankie Edgar (+300)
  • Women’s Bantamweight – Marion Reneau (+175) vs Macy Chiasson (-225)
  • Flyweight – Alexandre Pantoja (-145) vs Manel Kape (+115)
  • Bantamweight – Cody Stamann (-310) vs Andre Ewell (+240)
  • Lightweight – Diego Ferreira (-130) vs Beneil Dariush (EVEN)
  • Prelims
  • Lightweight – Michael Johnson (-225) vs Clay Guida (+175)
  • Light Heavyweight – Mike Rodriguez (-250) vs Danilo Marques (+195)
  • Bantamweight – Julio Arce (EVEN) vs Timur Valiev (-130)
  • Women’s Flyweight – Molly McCann (-165) vs Lara Procopio (+135)
  • Featherweight – Seungwoo Choi (+195) vs Youssef Zalal (-250)

New to betting on the fights? Check out our UFC betting guide to help you get in the action. Also, be sure to keep an eye on our UFC odds page for the latest up-to-date betting lines.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov Broadcast Information
  • Date/Time: February 6, 5 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex Center
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+

Alistair Overeem vs Alexander Volkov Odds & Prediction

Fighter Odds
Alistair Overeem +155
Alexander Volkov -190

Alexander “Drago” Volkov (-190) was well on his way to a title fight when he found himself up against Derrick Lewis on the main card of UFC 229 headlined by Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Conor McGregor. However, Volkov got caught with 11 seconds left in that fight, losing by knockout, and is now clawing his way back up the rankings. Alistair “Demolition Man” Overeem (+155) has previously climbed up the rankings but has been stopped by the top guys in the division. He says he wants one more title run before he retires – he needs a win here.

Overeem: Need to Knows
  • If you want to talk about experience, look no further than ‘Reem. This will be his 67th pro MMA fight but he had a career in kickboxing as well.
  • Of his 66 pro MMA fights, 57 have been stoppages. He has 25 knockout and 17 submission wins, while also being knocked out 14 times and submitted once.
  • Early in the Demolition Man’s career, he was almost solely a striker with the odd takedown here and there. However, since his loss to Curtis Blaydes in 2018, he has secured seven takedowns in his last five fights, including three in his win over Augusto Sakai in September.
  • Overeem has a very high fight IQ, constantly reading his opponents’ movements and game-planning how to approach them. He has good conditioning and good defense, allowing him to stay fresh late into the fight. Additionally, his diverse striking skill set makes him dangerous in any range, but specifically, kicking and knees in the clinch are his bread and butter.
  • At times, with Overeem’s patience, he can be blitzed where he covers up and protects himself. But if his foe continues striking, it puts him in a spot where he may lose a round or even the fight as he hides behind his defensive shell.
  • Overeem’s last three fights were Jairzinho Rozenstruik (loss – knockout), Walt Harris (win – knockout) and Augusto Sakai (win – knockout).
Volkov: Need to Knows
  • Drago also brings a wealth of experience, having won heavyweight titles in M-1 Global and Bellator. That said, at 32 years old, this is his 41st pro fight; he still has some work to do to catch Overeem.
  • Of Volkov’s 40 pro fights, his hand has been raised 32 times, with 21 of those victories coming by knockout. He has been stopped four times, twice by knockout and twice by submission.
  • He is an excellent boxer and a big heavyweight, standing six-foot-seven, but he has the same reach as Overeem at 80 inches. Volkov has struggled with takedowns in the past, despite once holding the highest takedown defense percentage in the UFC; not many men were shooting for takedowns at that point. Curtis Blaydes took him down 14 times last June.
  • Volkov is an intimidating figure as he constantly moves forward and forces his opponents to circle around the cage. Although he closes the distance, he doesn’t get into wild exchanges but rather his opponents will engage with him when they feel trapped and he counters powerfully and accurately.
  • The best approach to get Volkov in trouble is forcing him to strike first as he tends to keep his hands low when throwing strikes, opening him up for counters.
  • Volkov’s last three fights were Greg Hardy (win – unanimous decision), Curtis Blaydes (loss – unanimous decision) and Walt Harris (win – knockout).

Prediction: Alistair Overeem (+155) via decision

Cory Sandhagen vs Frankie Edgar Odds & Prediction

Fighter Odds
Cory Sandhagen -400
Frankie Edgar +300

Following a knockout win over Marlon Moraes in October, Cory “Sandman” Sandhagen (-400) looks to make it two in a row and solidify himself as the No. 1 contender in the bantamweight division. Meanwhile, Frankie “The Answer” Edgar (+300) had a successful bantamweight debut, beating Pedro Munhoz following back-to-back losses at featherweight.

Sandhagen: Need to Knows
  • Sandhagen parlayed a seven-fight win streak into a No. 1 contender fight with Aljamain Sterling in June of last year but lost via first-round submission. A win here puts him back in the title conversation or perhaps in a fight with T.J. Dillashaw.
  • He has finished eight of his 13 wins, five by knockout and three by submission. Sandman is an aggressive fighter with 6.88 significant strikes per minute and he has outstruck six of his seven UFC opponents.
  • Cory switches stances effectively, allowing him to throw strikes from a variety of different angles, and he mixes those strikes up to keep his opponents on edge. With his ability to switch stances, he catches his foes when he steps through and fires a heavy strike while they think he’s switching.
  • Sandhagen’s last three fights were Raphael Assuncao (win – unanimous decision), Aljamain Sterling (loss – submission) and Marlon Moraes (win – knockout).
Edgar: Need to Knows
  • The former lightweight champion and featherweight title challenger hopes his new weight class will give him an opportunity to fight for gold again.
  • Edgar is a decision machine with 19 of his 32 pro fights going to the judges’ scorecards. This is mainly due to his grappling approach, which can eat up large chunks of time. He averages 2.28 takedowns per 15 minutes.
  • The Answer is a gritty fighter, always pushing the pace with plenty of combinations while mixing in takedowns. Frankie also has good footwork, always dancing around the outside of the cage looking for his opponent to freeze before engaging. He looked fast in his bantamweight debut.
  • Edgar’s last three fights were Max Holloway (loss – unanimous decision), Korean Zombie (loss – knockout) and Pedro Munhoz (win – split decision).

Prediction: Cory Sandhagen (-400) via decision

Marion Reneau vs Macy Chiasson Odds & Prediction

Fighter Odds
Marion Reneau +175
Macy Chiasson -225

It has been a rough go recently for Marion “The Belizean Bruiser” Reneau (+175) as she backs her way into this fight on a three-fight losing streak. Looking to pile on another defeat to Reneau’s record and continue climbing the ranks in her own right is Macy Chiasson (-225), who won her lone fight in 2020 by unanimous decision.

Reneau: Need to Knows
  • When the Belizean Bruiser scores a victory, it usually comes by finish with eight of her nine pro wins being stoppages. She has five wins and three submission victories, while all six of her losses have been decisions.
  • After landing just two combined takedowns over her first nine UFC bouts, she’s secured three over her last two fights.
  • Reneau is usually a fast starter, constantly throwing strikes at her opponents, whether she’s in range or not. She tends to telegraph her strikes by loading up which are easily avoided and when she’s pressured she puts her hands out to defend, opening huge windows to get hit.
  • Reneau’s last three fights were Cat Zingano (loss – unanimous decision), Yana Kunitskaya (loss – unanimous decision) and Razquel Pennington (loss – unanimous decision).
Chiasson: Need to Knows
  • Chiasson is a big bantamweight, having been the former Ultimate Fighter winner in the featherweight division. She has finished four of her six wins, two by knockout and two by submission while her lone defeat came by decision.
  • Similar to Reneau, Chiasson is predominantly a striker, landing no takedowns in her first four UFC fights, she secured three in her decision win over Shanna Young in February of last year.
  • She does great work in the clinch, with terrific head position and is constantly wearing on her opponents with knees and takedown attempts. At range, she’s wild, constantly throwing straight punches and looking to get into a brawl. She looks for Thai clinches followed quickly with strong knees.
  • Chiasson’s last three fights were Sarah Moras (win – knockout), Lina Lansberg (loss – unanimous decision) and Shanna Young (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Macy Chiasson (-225) via decision

Alexandre Pantoja vs Manel Kape Odds & Prediction

Fighter Odds
Alexandre Pantoja -145
Manel Kape +115

The former Rizin bantamweight champion, Manel “Prodigio” Kape (+115), is ready to make his UFC debut, riding a three-fight winning streak, all by knockout. He’s taking on a staple of the UFC bantamweight division Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja (-145) who looks to return to the win column following his decision loss last July.

Pantoja: Need to Knows
  • The Cannibal dropped his only fight in 2020 to a potential title challenger in short time, Askar Askarov. That loss marked the second over Pantoja’s last three fights, the previous defeat was to the current champion, Deiveson Figueiredo.
  • Of Pantoja’s 22 pro wins, 16 have been finished with eight knockouts and eight submissions. All five of his losses have come by decision.
  • He is a wild, aggressive fighter both on the feet and on the floor. Like many Brazilian fighters, he has great kicks, as for his hands, he’s primarily a counter puncher. On the floor, he is very active in searching for submissions and chains attempts together very well.
  • Pantoja’s last three fights were Deiveson Figueiredo (loss – unanimous decision), Matt Schnell (win – knockout) and Askar Askarov (loss – unanimous decision).
Kape: Need to Knows
  • Kape has had an up-and-down recent stretch, dropping three of four fights in a one-year span, followed quickly with a three-fight winning streak in a year, all by knockout and avenging one of those losses. He was a replacement fighter for Figueiredo vs Moreno if either fighter couldn’t compete.
  • Of the Prodigio’s 15 pro wins, 14 have been finished with nine knockouts and five submissions. Of his four losses, two were by submission and two were decision losses.
  • He is a fairly aggressive fighter, marching forward with his hands high and when he lets his hands fly, it is clear he’s looking to end the fight in a hurry. Kape switches stances effectively and moves like a boxer.
  • Kape’s last three fights were Seilchiro Ito (win – knockout), Takeya Mizugaki (win – knockout) and Kai Asakura (win – knockout).

Prediction: Manel Kape (+115) via decision

Cody Stamann vs Andre Ewell Odds & Prediction

Fighter Odds
Cody Stamann -310
Andre Ewell +240

After picking up back-to-back split decision victories in 2020, Andre “Mr. Highlight” Ewell (+240) aims to extend his winning streak to three. On the other side, Cody “The Spartan” Stamann (-310) hopes to return to the win column after a unanimous decision loss to Jimmie Rivera in July of last year.

Stamann: Need to Knows
  • Going the distance is nothing new for Stamann with 14 of his 23 pro fights going to the judges’ scorecards, including seven of his last eight fights. Of his stoppages, he has six knockouts and two submission wins, with one submission loss as well.
  • The Spartan is a patient fighter, typically fighting on the outside looking for his opponents to engage with him so he can level change and take them to the canvas. He averages 3.03 takedowns per 15 minutes and has landed at least one in six of his eight UFC fights.
  • On the feet, Stamann makes sure he maintains distance and will only engage after his counterpart throws at him, he will counter with a flurry of punches.
  • Stamann’s last three fights were Song Yadong (majority draw), Brian Kelleher (win – unanimous decision) and Jimmie Rivera (loss – unanimous decision).
Ewell: Need to Knows
  • Mr. Highlight has had a good run in the UFC, winning four of his six bouts, however, not really living up to his moniker with no finishes over those fights. Prior to the UFC, he had 13 wins with 11 being stoppages seven wins and four submissions.
  • He wants to keep the fight on the feet and has done a good job in doing that. Ewell has stuffed 73 percent of takedown attempts, though, has been taken down at least once in four of his six UFC fights.
  • He is extremely long for the bantamweight division with a 75-inch reach, 11 more than Stamann. That said, I don’t find he uses his length well typically rushing into his opponent and overextending, but he’s got pop and accuracy when he lands.
  • Ewell’s last three fights were Marlon Vera (loss – knockout), Jonathan Martinez (win – split decision) and Irwin Rivera (win – split decision).

Prediciton: Cody Stamann (-310) win decision

Diego Ferreira vs Beneil Dariush Odds & Prediction

Fighter Odds
Diego Ferreira -130
Beneil Dariush EVEN

A great fight to kick off the main card with a lengthy winning streak coming to an end. Beneil Dariush (EVEN) has won each of his last five fights, including a four-fight finish streak. Meanwhile, Diego Ferreira (-130) is riding a six-fight winning streak and looks to avenge a decision loss to Dariush back in 2014, one of just two losses on Ferreira’s record.

Ferreira: Need to Knows
  • Known more for his submission skills, Ferrierra has secured all three of his knockout wins over his last seven wins, after 10 wins without one. He has only been stopped once by Dustin Poirier via knockout in 2015.
  • Diego is an aggressive fighter always moving forward looking to close the distance and get into a grappling exchange. That said, he doesn’t mind putting his chin and getting in an all-out brawl with his opponents too.
  • He is deceptively strong and if he can get his opponent thinking about his striking, it makes his grappling skills even more dangerous when he catches them by surprise. Ferriera does much of his work in the clinch against the cage.
  • Ferreira’s last three fights were Rustam Khabilov (win – unanimous decision), Mairbek Taisumov (win – unanimous decision) and Anthony Pettis (win – submission).
Dariush: Need to Knows
  • Set to make his 19th walk to the Octagon and continue his quest to climb up the lightweight rankings. Dariush has had a five-fight winning streak in the UFC before from 2014 into 2016 before getting stopped by Michael Chiesa.
  • Only seven of Dariush’s 23 fights have gone the distance as all four of his losses were stoppages, three knockouts and a submission while he has 13 wins by finish, five by knockout and eight by submission.
  • Like Ferriera, Dariush likes to get into grappling exchanges, averaging 1.75 takedowns per 15 minutes and has landed nine over his five-fight winning streak. He also landed three in his win over Ferriera.
  • Dariush’s striking has definitely evolved and he does a good job maintaining distance with straight punches and powerful kicks. That said, he doesn’t mind getting into a good ole-fashion brawl as well.
  • Dariush’s last three fights were Frank Camacho (win – submission), Drakkar Klose (win – knockout) and Scott Holtzman (win – knockout).

Prediction: Beneil Dariush (EVEN) via decision

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov Best Bets

Fighter Odds
Heavyweight — Alistair Overeem +155
Bantamweight — Cory Sandhagen -400
Women’s Bantamweight — Macy Chiasson -225
Flyweight — Manel Kape +115
Bantamweight — Cody Stamann -310
Lightweight — Beneil Dariush EVEN

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