Nuggets vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – January 5, 2021

The Minnesota Timberwolves (2-4) will try to end a four-game losing streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (2-4) on Tuesday, January 5, 2021 at Ball Arena as heavy, underdogs. The matchup airs at 9:00 PM ET on ALT. The matchup has an over/under of points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of January 5, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

Injury Report as of January 5

Nuggets:
Greg Whittington: Day To Day (Left Knee),
Michael Porter Jr.: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Timberwolves:
Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Left wrist),
Jaylen Nowell: Day To Day (Left Calf),
Josh Okogie: Out (Hamstring)

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Nuggets (-11.5)

Pick OU:
Over (227.5)

Prediction:
Timberwolves 121 Nuggets 107
Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 1.3 points lower than the model projection.

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jamal Murray 5 24.0 4.6 3.0 1.2 0.2 3.0
Nikola Jokic 6 22.3 11.3 12.8 1.2 0.7 1.2
Paul Millsap 6 12.5 4.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 1.8
Monte Morris 6 12.0 2.3 3.5 0.5 0.3 1.2
Will Barton 6 9.8 4.3 3.0 0.7 0.8 1.0

Nuggets Player Props

  • Nikola Jokic’s assists prop total for the matchup is posted at 7.5 assists, 5.3 assists lower than his season average of 12.8.
  • Jamal Murray’s points prop total for the game is set at 20.5, 3.5 points lower than his season average of 24.0.
  • Murray’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.5 shots less than his season average of 3.0.
  • Jokic’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals greater than his season average of 1.2.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Malik Beasley 6 19.0 4.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 2.0
D’Angelo Russell 6 16.8 3.0 4.5 1.3 0.3 2.8
Anthony Edwards 6 13.7 2.0 2.2 0.7 0.3 1.8
Naz Reid 6 11.3 4.2 1.7 0.7 1.0 0.8
Jarrett Culver 6 9.3 6.3 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.7

Timberwolves Player Props

  • Malik Beasley’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 18.5, 6.8 lower than his season average of 25.3.
  • Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 25.5, 11.0 higher than his season average of 14.5.
  • D’Angelo Russell’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.7 shots higher than his season average of 2.8.
  • Russell’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals greater than his season average of 1.3.

Shooting Trends

  • The Nuggets make 49.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.6 percentage points lower than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (49.8%).
  • Denver is 1-1 against the spread and 1-1 overall when it shoots higher than 49.8% from the field.
  • Minnesota’s record is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall when its opponents make more than 49.2% of their shots from the field.
  • The Timberwolves are shooting 44% from the field, 4.8% lower than the 48.8% the Nuggets’ opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, Minnesota has a 0-1 record against the spread and a 0-1 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 48.8% from the field.
  • When Denver’s opponents shoot higher than 44% from the field, it is 0-0 against the spread and 0-0 overall.
  • The Nuggets are making 37.9% of their three-point shots this season, 0.6% lower than the 38.5% the Timberwolves allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Denver has a 2-2 record against the spread and a 2-2 record overall when the team connects on more than 38.5% of its three-point shots.
  • Minnesota has put up a 2-1 against the spread while going 2-1 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 37.9% from downtown.
  • The Timberwolves’ three-point shooting percentage this season (31.4%) is 9.2 percentage points lower than opponents of the Nuggets are averaging (40.6%).
  • Minnesota has a 1-0 ATS record and is 1-0 straight-up when the team hits more than 40.6% of its three-point attempts.
  • Denver has a 0-0 ATS record and a 0-0 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 31.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Nuggets connect on 12.5 three-pointers per game this season, 1.5 more makes per game than the Timberwolves give up (11).
  • When Denver makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 1-0 against the spread and 1-0 overall. When Minnesota is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 0-4 ATS and 0-4 straight up.
  • The Timberwolves rank 23rd in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Nuggets give up the 25th-fewest made threes in the league.

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Nuggets Rank Nuggets AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
7th 116 Points Scored 106.2 25th
23rd 116 Points Allowed 119.5 27th
20th 41.5 Rebounds 42.3 24th
15th 9.8 Off. Rebounds 12 3rd
17th 12.5 3pt Made 11 23rd
2nd 28.8 Assists 23.2 22nd
13th 14.5 Turnovers 14.2 10th

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