Manchester City vs Manchester United Odds & Prediction – Premier League Round 27

Manchester City vs Manchester United

Manchester City players celebrate after scoring their team second goal during the English Premier League soccer match between Manchester City and Wolves at the Etihad stadium in Manchester, England, Tuesday, March 2, 2021. (Carl Recine/Pool via AP)
  • EPL leaders Man City entertain local rivals Manchester United on Sunday, March 7, KO 11:30 am EST
  • City lead second-placed United by a whopping 14 points with just 11 games to go
  • We list the odds and some stats, preview the game and offer our best picks

Manchester United’s goalless draw at Selhurst Park on Wednesday – their third 0-0 in a row – combined with Manchester City’s emphatic 4-1 win over Wolves at the Etihad on Tuesday, means the Citizens head into Sunday’s derby with a huge 14-point lead at the top of the EPL. This Manchester City vs Manchester United game kicks off on March 7 at 11:30 am EST.

Read on to see the odds and our best bet for this Premier League Matchday 27 match.

Manchester City vs Manchester United Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Manchester City vs Manchester United CIT -1 (-118) | UTD +1 (-103) CIT -500| DRAW +335 | UTD +550 Ov 2.5 (-148) | Un 2.5 (+118)

All odds taken Mar 5 at DraftKings

Unrelenting City

City’s thumping 4-1 over Wolves on Tuesday has given them a seemingly unassailable 14 point lead at the top of the EPL. With just 11 games of the season to go, the title is all but done and dusted and is it now a question of when and not if for Pep Guardiola’s men.

That is not to say there will be any let-up at the Etihad or any drop in the standards demanded by Guardiola – that simply will not happen – and, in fact, the Spaniard will be desperate to get the title sealed as soon as possible so they can concentrate on the other three competitions they are still in.

All of which adds up to a massive ask for United who comes into this game off the back of three consecutive draws – two in the EPL, against Chelsea and Crystal Palace, and in the Europa League against Real Sociedad – and who as a result have failed to maintain their title challenge.

For City, with a League Cup Final to come against Tottenham, an FA Cup quarterfinal against Everton, and a Champions League quarterfinal imminent (they lead Borussia Monchengladbach 2-0 in the round-of-16), they have the potential to win an unprecedented quartet of domestic trophies.

61 for, 9 Against – City on Fire

The big question is whether Guardiola’s squad can maintain their current intensity and continue their relentless march to further glory; an unbeaten run that began back on November 28, when they beat Burnley 5-0 at home, and now includes 22 wins and two draws. Along the way, they have scored an unbelievable 61 goals and conceded just 9, but even with a squad of such quality and depth, to maintain that level remains a huge ask.

Manchester City vs Manchester United Head-to-Head Stats

Manchester City
Manchester United
27 EPL Games played 27
20 Wins 14
5 Draws 9
2 Losses 4
56 Goals scored 53
17 Goals conceded 32
2.08 Expected goals (xG) scored 1.8
0.84 Expected goals (xGA) conceded 1.31

A Nearly-Season for United

For United, the season has been one of what-ifs, with good runs of form being interspersed with disappointing results. As a result, they trail their city rivals by some distance but, given the difficult few seasons United has just endured, this campaign will still be seen as a step forward. If, along the way, they can take points from City, even beat them, then it will be deemed a good campaign.

The reverse fixture, at Old Trafford back in December, ended goalless and was a timely indicator of how local derbies can often be ‘levelers’ – where form and league position count for little – which is why it is wrong to disregard United’s chances here. If the game goes according to the formbook there is only one winner, but United’s habit of drawing 0-0 with opponents from the ‘big six’ is a curious one and suggests that manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer sets his team up to be less expansive when going toe-to-toe with quality opponents.

2021 English Premier League Odds Tracker

Expect a Low-Scorer

The key for this game will be the start United can make and what they cannot afford to do is to let City go ahead early on. If it happens it could be a long afternoon for United as City’s quality, in the form of Kevin de Bruyne, Raheem Sterling and co, makes it very difficult for teams to ‘chase’ games against them. Ideally, for United and anyone watching the match as a neutral, the Red Devils will be the ones to go ahead meaning that it is City who has to press. That would change the dynamic.

Either way, it needs all of United’s big names – Paul Pogba, Bruno Fernandes, Edison Cavani and co – to step up and give Solskjaer a performance. Then, maybe, they can keep things tight enough to spoil City’s run of consecutive wins. At +335 that is definitely where the value lies and also consider a low-scoring game.

Picks: City and United to draw (+335) / Under 2.5 goals (+118)

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