The No. 9-seed Kansas State Wildcats (8-19, 4-14 Big 12) meet the No. 8-seed TCU Horned Frogs (12-13, 5-11) in the first round of the Big 12 Tournament at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City on Wednesday for a 6:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Kansas State-TCU odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Kansas State vs. TCU: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Kansas State +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | TCU -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Kansas State +4.5 (-115) | TCU -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 127.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Kansas State vs. TCU: Three things to know

K-State struggled overall this season, but it might have played its best basketball down the stretch. They finished 3-1 SU/2-1-1 ATS across the final four games, including a 62-57 win over ranked Oklahoma as a 10-point underdog and a 62-54 win at TCU Feb. 20 as 6.5-point ‘dogs.
TCU enters on a big-time skid, going 1-6 SU across the final seven regular-season games, with its only win over last-place Iowa State Feb. 27. The Horned Frogs also went just 2-6 ATS across the final eight outings.
The Over went 3-1 in the final four games for TCU, but the Under went 6-0 in the final six games for Kansas State. The Under also cashed in each of the two meetings between the two in the regular season.

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Kansas State vs. TCU: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Kansas State 64, TCU 60

Money line (ML)

KANSAS STATE (+165) is a good play straight up as a moderate underdog against a skidding TCU (-200) side. The Horned Frogs managed a split with the Wildcats this season but lost the most recent meeting at home. The Wildcats are also playing very well, while TCU is not. Back the ‘dog.

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Against the spread (ATS)

KANSAS STATE +4.5 (-115) is definitely the play catching two buckets if you’re not feeling them straight up and want a little insurance. As mentioned, the Wildcats have ticked off wins over Iowa State, Oklahoma and TCU across the past four outings, and they’re playing with a lot of confidence right now. The same certainly cannot be said of the Horned Frogs.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 127.5 (-105) is the way to go, as K-State has been grinding out low-scoring wins lately. They combined for just 116 points at TCU in the most recent meeting, easily hitting the Under (132) number. The first meeting had a total of 127 points on the board, hitting the Under (131) as well. Look for another low-scoring game in this meeting in K.C.

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