The No. 9-seed Kansas State Wildcats (8-19, 4-14 Big 12) meet the No. 8-seed TCU Horned Frogs (12-13, 5-11) in the first round of the Big 12 Tournament at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City on Wednesday for a 6:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Kansas State-TCU odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.
Kansas State vs. TCU: Odds, spread and lines
Kansas State vs. TCU: Three things to know
K-State struggled overall this season, but it might have played its best basketball down the stretch. They finished 3-1 SU/2-1-1 ATS across the final four games, including a 62-57 win over ranked Oklahoma as a 10-point underdog and a 62-54 win at TCU Feb. 20 as 6.5-point ‘dogs.
TCU enters on a big-time skid, going 1-6 SU across the final seven regular-season games, with its only win over last-place Iowa State Feb. 27. The Horned Frogs also went just 2-6 ATS across the final eight outings.
The Over went 3-1 in the final four games for TCU, but the Under went 6-0 in the final six games for Kansas State. The Under also cashed in each of the two meetings between the two in the regular season.
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Kansas State vs. TCU: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Kansas State 64, TCU 60
Money line (ML)
KANSAS STATE (+165) is a good play straight up as a moderate underdog against a skidding TCU (-200) side. The Horned Frogs managed a split with the Wildcats this season but lost the most recent meeting at home. The Wildcats are also playing very well, while TCU is not. Back the ‘dog.
Against the spread (ATS)
KANSAS STATE +4.5 (-115) is definitely the play catching two buckets if you’re not feeling them straight up and want a little insurance. As mentioned, the Wildcats have ticked off wins over Iowa State, Oklahoma and TCU across the past four outings, and they’re playing with a lot of confidence right now. The same certainly cannot be said of the Horned Frogs.
UNDER 127.5 (-105) is the way to go, as K-State has been grinding out low-scoring wins lately. They combined for just 116 points at TCU in the most recent meeting, easily hitting the Under (132) number. The first meeting had a total of 127 points on the board, hitting the Under (131) as well. Look for another low-scoring game in this meeting in K.C.
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