- Trailing league leader Sporting by six points, Porto faces a difficult away trip to Braga on Sunday (3:45pm ET)
- The hosts have rattled off four consecutive wins, while Porto is riding a four-match shutout streak defensively
- Get a breakdown of the two clubs, Sunday’s matchup odds and a few value picks below
After an ice-cold start to the season, Braga (12-0-5) has come into its own under first-year boss Carlos Carvalhal — and sits two points clear of slumping Benfica in fourth place for the first time in a long while.
Porto (12-3-2) has shored things up at the back of late, riding 4-game sheet that is clean, but has seen its scoring dry out contrary to the likes of Farense (1-0) and Belenenses (0-0) in current days.
Both are chasing ghost that is sporting’s with the capital-based club well ahead of the pack on 45 points at the halfway point of the Portuguese season.
Braga vs Porto Primeira Liga Odds
|Braga vs Porto||BRA pk (+112) | POR(-148 that is pk||BRA +190 | POR +130 | DRAW +235||Ov 2.5 (-127) | Un 2.5 (-104)|
Odds taken Feb 6 at DraftKings
whilst the head-to-head history since 2007 happens to be dominated by Porto at 22-6-8, the tables have actually turned notably in Braga’s benefit in current periods.
The Guerreiros have won three for the final four conferences, such as the final two competitions during the Braga Municipal Stadium by 1-0 (Jan. 2020) and 2-1 (Jul. 2020) choices.
Braga: Moving Roster
There’s without doubt that Carvalhal’s part is exemplary in 2010, inserting it self to the mix for a Champions League spot whilst still being throwing both in the Taça de Portugal (semifinal phase, vs Porto) and Europa League (Round of 32 phase, vs Roma).
The January window that is transfer inflict some damage to Carvalhal’s outfit, however, with frontman Paulinho leaving for Sporting on a 16M euro fee; while Andraz Sporar came back the other way on loan, the Slovenian striker will likely take some time to integrate into the squad.
38 – Only Pizzi and Bruno Fernandes (each with 39 goals) have scored more goals than Paulinho (38) among all players that are portuguese the Primeira Liga because the start of 2017/18 period. Lion. pic.twitter.com/gySDCY5AOj
— OptaJoao (@OptaJoao) February 2, 2021
It stays become seen whether Carvalhal will hang in there very long sufficient to raise Braga to a title contender — he’s got just remained for a season that is single four of his last five managerial posts — but in the meantime the established power structure is under siege between the Guerreiros in 3rd and Sporting atop the table.
Porto: Bruised, but Still Alive
From Nanu’s horrific head injury against Belenenses on Thursday to target man Mehdi Taremi’s general fitness, Porto is feeling every bit of Sunday’s visit to its fixture congestion to Braga the club’s 4th match in nine times.
1 – FC Porto are four points behind displaying CP into the Primeira Liga, but appropriately to your predictor they’ve the best portion of any group into the league in order to complete the summer season into the top destination (54.9%). Future. pic.twitter.com/LQebs2fzcN
— OptaJoao (@OptaJoao) February 4, 2021
At +170 to win the Primeira Liga (Bet 365), bookmakers nevertheless think Porto offer value plus it’s obvious why: Taremi had been simply called Player for the Month for January, Sergio Oliveira is becoming at the very top midfield creator.
The concern is going to be whether Sergio Conceicao’s group can navigate the midst of February — another segment that is two-week with matches — and still be within touching distance of Sporting.
Braga vs Porto Best Bets
Porto’s squad is feeling the fixtures, and Braga is in solid form.
The hosts’ 7-0-1 home record cannot be ignored, nor can the recent history in the matchup: Braga with DNB protection (+110) is a tasty proposition.
Additionally, the Under 2.5 (-104) could be in play.
While Braga has been an machine that is over period (59%), Carvalhal’s part had been closed away by displaying twice into the period of a couple of weeks in January — with both striking the below 2.5 — and five of Porto’s final six games have all hit the Under 2.5.
It’s a gamble as both groups have significant scoring threats, but we think Portugal’s pragmatic mentoring will prevail for the below since it did throughout our Taça da Liga picks.
Pick: Braga DNB (+110), Under 2.5 (-104)