Bills vs. Colts: NFL AFC Wild Card Game Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions

The AFC Wild Card round of the 2020 NFL Playoffs features a matchup of the Buffalo Bills (13-3) (who are favorites) and the Indianapolis Colts (11-5) on January 9, 2021 at 1:05 PM ET on CBS. The over/under is set at .

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of January 5, 2021, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bills vs. Colts Odds

Computer Predictions

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bills (-7.0) Over (52.0) Bills 32 Colts 21

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo’s games have hit the over in 11 out of 16 opportunities this season (68.8%).
  • Buffalo has a 6-2 record against the spread at home this year, and is 7-1 overall in home games.
  • Buffalo has put together an 11-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills have an even ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 7.0-point favorites.
  • The Bills, on average, score 8.7 more points per game this season (31.3) than the Colts allow (22.6).
  • When they meet or outpace their scoring average this season, Buffalo is 6-0 and 6-0 against the spread.
  • When the Indianapolis defense allows 22.6 points or fewer this year, the Colts have pieced together an 8-0 overall record and a 6-2 record against the spread.

Get more NFL betting picks and tips from the PlayPicks staff HERE

Colts Betting Insights

  • Indianapolis is 8-8 against the spread.
  • The Colts have a losing ATS record of 1-4 when playing as at least 7.0-point underdogs.
  • Indianapolis’ games have hit the over in nine out of 16 opportunities this season (56.2%).
  • The Colts, on average, score 4.8 more points per game this season (28.2) than the Bills allow (23.4).
  • Indianapolis is 6-0 overall and 5-1 against the spread when they score at least 28.2 points this season.
  • Buffalo is 8-0 overall and 6-2 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 23.4 points.
  • Indianapolis has a 5-3 record against the spread on the road this year, and is 5-3 overall in away games.

Scoring Stats

Off. Points per Game (Rank) Def. Points per Game (Rank) Average Total
Bills 31.3 (2) 23.4 (16) 54.8
Colts 28.2 (9) 22.6 (10) 50.8

Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen has thrown for 4,546 yards while completing 69.2% of his passes (396-of-572), with 37 touchdowns and 10 interceptions in 16 games this year (284.1 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 102 times for 420 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 26.3 yards per game.
  • Devin Singletary has taken 156 attempts for a team-leading 686 rushing yards (42.9 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns in 16 games. He’s also caught 38 passes for 269 yards (16.8 receiving yards per game).
  • Zack Moss has 481 yards on 112 carries (37.0 ypg), with four rushing touchdowns over the course of 13 games.
  • Stefon Diggs has reeled in 127 passes to lead the team with 1,535 yards while scoring eight touchdowns. He has been targeted 168 times and averages 95.9 yards per game over 16 outings.
  • Gabriel Davis has tacked on 599 yards on 35 catches with seven touchdowns. He has been targeted 62 times and averages 37.4 receiving yards per game in 16 matchups this year.
  • John Brown has caught 33 passes on 52 targets for 458 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 45.8 yards per game in 10 contests in 2020.
  • A.J. Klein has 5.0 sacks to lead the team, and has also racked up 5.0 TFL and 73 tackles over 16 games.
  • In 16 games over the course of the 2020 campaign, Jordan Poyer has racked up 119 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions and leads the team in tackles.
  • Levi Wallace has intercepted two passes to lead the team while adding 47 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and eight passes defended 13 over games.

Colts Players to Watch

  • This year, Philip Rivers has collected 4,169 passing yards (260.6 yards per game) while going 370-for-544 (68% completion percentage) and throwing 24 touchdowns and 11 interceptions in 16 games.
  • Jonathan Taylor has churned out a team-high 1,169 rushing yards (73.1 yards per game) and scored 11 touchdowns in 16 games. He has added 36 catches for 299 yards (18.7 receiving yards per game) with one receiving touchdown.
  • Nyheim Hines has 380 yards on 89 carries (23.8 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns over the course of 16 games. He also has 64 catches for 482 yards (30.1 ypg) and four touchdowns.
  • This season, T.Y. Hilton has 56 catches (on 93 targets) to lead the team with 762 yards (50.8 per game) with five touchdowns in 15 games.
  • Zach Pascal’s statline this year shows 44 catches for 629 yards and five touchdowns in 16 games. He averages 39.3 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 71 times.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has caught 40 passes on 60 targets for 503 yards and one touchdown, averaging 38.7 yards per game in 13 contests in 2020.
  • DeForest Buckner has registered a team-leading 9.5 sacks, while adding 10.0 TFL and 59 tackles over 16 games.
  • Darius Leonard has racked up 129 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and three sacks to lead the team in tackles so far in 14 games over the course of the 2020 campaign.
  • Kenny Moore II has a team-high four interceptions and has tacked on 79 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and 12 passes defended 16 in games this season.

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